Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000031 0.000036 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000065
2024-10-27 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000046 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081
2024-11-03 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000073 0.000093
2024-11-10 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000062 0.000082 0.000108
2024-11-17 0.000016 0.000024 0.000034 0.000047 0.000066 0.000089 0.000122
2024-11-24 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000136
2024-12-01 0.000013 0.000021 0.000031 0.000047 0.000070 0.000101 0.000146
2024-12-08 0.000011 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000071 0.000105 0.000156
2024-12-15 0.000010 0.000018 0.000029 0.000047 0.000074 0.000111 0.000169
2024-12-22 0.000010 0.000018 0.000029 0.000048 0.000078 0.000120 0.000186
2024-12-29 0.000009 0.000017 0.000029 0.000049 0.000080 0.000127 0.000199
2025-01-05 0.000009 0.000016 0.000029 0.000050 0.000084 0.000136 0.000217
2025-01-12 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000049 0.000084 0.000138 0.000225
2025-01-19 0.000007 0.000015 0.000027 0.000049 0.000087 0.000145 0.000240
2025-01-26 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000049 0.000087 0.000149 0.000251
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000050 0.000091 0.000158 0.000270
2025-02-09 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000051 0.000095 0.000166 0.000289
2025-02-16 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000052 0.000098 0.000175 0.000307
2025-02-23 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000051 0.000098 0.000178 0.000318
2025-03-02 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000050 0.000098 0.000181 0.000329
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000050 0.000101 0.000188 0.000346
2025-03-16 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000052 0.000106 0.000199 0.000370
2025-03-23 0.000004 0.000010 0.000024 0.000053 0.000108 0.000207 0.000388